Technical Report No. 04

Claude Fable 5 vs Opus 4.8 vs GPT-5.5

2026-07-02 · 15 evals · 60 runs · zero refusals · corrected costs
Abstract.

All four configurations score 14 of 15, but each misses a different task. GPT-5.5 alone solves the multi-site Flask teardown redesign that stops every other model, and alone fails a SQL dialect transpile the others pass. At equal accuracy, cost spans 4x: Opus 4.8 is the value leader; GPT-5.5 pays heavily for its one extra capability. Correctness no longer separates these models on ticket-sized work; economics does.

Model card: Fable 5 low/medium vs Opus 4.8 high vs GPT-5.5 high across 15 evals
Card 1. Aggregate results and resource consumption at equal accuracy. Costs corrected for each provider's prompt-cache discount.

Identical scores, different weak spots.

Model (effort)ScoreCostTimeStepsTokens
Claude Fable 5 (low)14/15$5.9927 min660.40 M
Claude Fable 5 (medium)14/15$11.1044 min840.64 M
Claude Opus 4.8 (high)14/15$5.0027 min960.71 M
GPT-5.5 (high)14/15$20.4371 min1952.97 M
1.

The single misses differ. Fable (both efforts) and Opus fail only flask-teardown-robust, the multi-site redesign that has stopped every Anthropic model to date. GPT-5.5 is the first model to solve it, but is the only one to fail sqlglot-iso8601-nanos, a SQL dialect transpile the others pass easily. The suite now separates these models by what kind of task they miss.

2.

Opus 4.8 is the value leader. The same 14/15 as everything else, at the lowest cost, the fewest tokens, and no reliability issues.

3.

More effort is not always better. Fable-medium cost 2x Fable-low for an identical score. GPT-5.5 spent 4x Opus and used 4x the tokens to buy exactly one extra task, which it offset by losing another.

The 15 evals ranked by difficulty
Card 2. The fifteen evals in this run, ranked by difficulty. Only the two hardest separate the models.

Fifteen tasks from real merged pull requests (flask, sqlglot, click, chi, more-itertools, packaging, anyio, pytest, urllib3, poetry, redis; Python and Go), all merged after model training cutoffs, graded by deterministic hidden tests in a network-isolated Docker sandbox. One run per task per configuration.

Two corrections make this run trustworthy relative to an earlier draft: the harness now folds OpenAI's automatic prompt-cache discount into cost (GPT-5.5's true total is $20.43, not the ~6x figure a naive token count implies), and two tasks a safety classifier had intermittently refused were replaced with equally-hard, reliably-attempted tasks, giving a clean 15 for every model with zero refusals.

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